All the Hogs have to do to win Friday in Baton Rouge is to be great for one day. This isn't the best two out of three or a 7 game series, it's one game ,and history tells us it will be a close game. The last six games in this series have been decided by 8 points or less. If you total the scores from those games, the scoreboard reads Arkansas 185 points, LSU 184.
It won't be easy. LSU has put up some crazy numbers this season. They've allowed a grand total of 50 points in seven SEC games. Opponents have reached the Tiger endzone in the first half just 4 times this season. In 44 quarters of action, LSU has held opponents without a touchdown in 35 quarters. Here's a stat that may surprise you, LSU has scored 40 points or more in 7 games this season. They also lead the nation in turnover margin. They've forced 24 turnovers and committed only 6 turnovers. This is an LSU team that hasn't lost since the 2010 Battle for the Boot. You have to go back to the 2009 season to find a team that has whipped them at Tiger stadium. LSU has won a nation's best 16 straight home games.
Now the case for the Hogs. LSU has faced only one team that can throw it like the Hogs. West Virginia is ranked 6th in the nation in passing offense, and they didn't hurt their average against LSU. The Mountaineers threw for 463 yards against LSU. That's right, 463 yards.
In the last three weeks, the Hogs have shredded two highly rated defenses. They could have scored 60 on a South Carolina defense that is ranked 5th in the nation in total defense, and they had no problem scoring 44 points against a Bulldog D that went into the game ranked in the top 20 in the country in scoriing defense.
All systems are operating at a high level. The same five players have started on the offensive line for the past 7 games. Tyler Wilson operated at a machine like level in his last start. Chris Gragg has emerged as a force at tight end. A big down receiver with reliable hands who abuses defenders after the catch. Jarius Wright has been at his deceptive best all season. J. Wright is fast, strong and smart. Cobi Hamilton and Greg Childs are coming off confidence boosting performances and then there's Joe Adams. The most explosive WR/KR in the college game is due for a few more " wow" moments. The Hogs also have something hey didn't have for the Alabama game, a true number one tailback. Dennis Johnson is a threat carrying and catching the ball.
Both teams have excellent punters, but LSU doesn't have anyone like Zach Hocker. In a game where field position could be huge, Hocker could be the difference. Zach has an SEC high 34 touchbacks this season. LSU has only 9. With Dennis Johnson returning kicks, the Hogs could enjoy a big advantage in kickoffs.
The Hog defense is getting better. They've forced at least one turnover in 7 staight games. They've also been a good third down defense, holding opponents to a 35 percent conversion rate. The Hog D is also ranked second in the SEC and 13th in the country in red zone defense.
Big Game Bobby. I think Coach P has probably been secretely scheming for LSU the past 3 weeks. It may happen, but I have a hard time believing we will see a repeat of the Alabama game. His offenses have also scored 30 points or more in all three meetings with highly ranked LSU defenses.
Will they win Friday ? You bet, if they're great for one day !!! Go Hogs !!!