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Wednesday February 18, 2009 at 10:14 pm
Wintry Weekend?


1 PM Saturday Update...   The precipitation is decreasing rapidly with clearing skies now between Little Rock and Russellville.  There was very little snow/sleet as expected.  I was truly hoping to be surprised.  I don't want to downplay the rest of the winter, but I want to bring up severe weather this spring as many are asking what kind of spring we will have.  Unless I see strong signals such as the La Nina last year, I don't trust any long term forecasts.  I think it's safe to say, we will have some severe weather.  It's just a part of living in Arkansas.

Thanks to everyone who contributes and reads this blog.  You have made it very successful!  I intend to use this forum during severe weather coverage to the best of my ability and it means getting all of you involved.  Not chasing, but just telling us what's happening where you live.  Pictures and video will also be incorported into the coverage.  We will talk more as we get closer.  Hopefully between now and then, we'll get a good snow.

8:30 AM Saturday Update.... We have had a few reports of sleet this morning and a few reports of light snow across northern Arkansas.  Everybody is well above freezing. Most of the precipitation should exit by early afternoon.  I feel the frustration of many of you when it comes to our snow chances.  I can't see anything in the long term and that takes us into March.  I do see an intrusion of arctic air into the northern plains, but all the models want to keep it bottled up north of the state.   Time is running out for sure.   Keep me updated with weather reports from your area.   Thanks!

It's time to start a new thread as a we get into this weekend weather event.  For all of you so disappointed at the lack of snow, you may see a few flakes Saturday.  Right now it does not look like a big event at all as it is fast moving, lacking significant moisture, and surface temperatures will be above freezing.  Nevertheless, we could see a few flakes flying in the air.  Temperatures from the model guidance keeps getting cooler and cooler.  I'll keep you updated here.

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Comments on Wintry Weekend?
Linda
todd no snow anywhere in arkansas even the north had zip the ice storm was terrible but as far as snow really no one has seen zip. i heard today chicago is more then a foot above normal for the winter, if only they could have shared just a few inches with us lol

john R
hey todd what happened this winter why no snow?

Devin Flemens
Hey Todd didnt get much of anyhting here in umpire just a little rain well how about the rain next week we need alot so the lakes will come up for good fishing.

jimmylee42
Todd-you mentioned the winter of 18-19 the other day. I noticed a fact about that winter was that our deepest snow cover of 15 inches on about January 21 still stands. That month also was the coldest recorded until January 1979. If you look at the winters of 77-78, 78-79, and 83-84 you will see that our three coldest winter month records were set in those years. To me, all of those falling within a 6 year period of time is truly amazing.

misty
yeh todd i guess we can put the snow talk to bed this year.,what a bummer i mean everyday i dec, jan, feb i was looking at 5 different forecasts in the market for some kind of hope for snow, and there was nothing all winter long. i know you said the winter of 92-93 was the last snowless winter in little rock and now we have to add 08-09 to the list now, what a let down.

marty
no snow just rain i wish it would snow, but its not in the cards this year. just a bunch of nuthin.

kenneth martin
HEY TODD, Why NO NEW WEATHER BLOG ON THIIS WEATHER EVENT ????????????????????

nathan
Stop all the no snow talking if we get a snowstorm than we get one and if we dont than we dont. Just stop complaining winter isn't even over yet until march the 21st.

Don
Todd, I live in NLR. Saturday at 8am (today) we had about a minute and a half of 1/2 pea sized hail, and just now some lightening and thunderclaps. Just wanted to let you know.

Devin Flemens
Hey Todd looks like we may get a few flakes tomorrow be nice to see some of them big flakes falling.So on to next week does it look like we will have any sever weather?

joan
hey todd i was reading noaa weather forecast it says snow flurries sat for little rock but no accumalation just our luck

K
do you think the weather event this weekend will be big enough to lead the newscast. I like weather leads

Devin Flemens
Hey Todd looks like a rainy warm week ahead so is there going be any storms?

susie
Never rode a horse before? City Boy!

Kenneth Martin
Hey Todd, Cetral and southern Arkansas is not the place for SNOW LOVERS this winter was a prime example. It seems like when the moisture here the cold air pushes it the moisture south and east of Arkansas When a cold front comes in. When the cold air is in place its usually on a northwest flow that is usually a dry flow for arkansas during the winter. But sometimes the southern jet becomes active when we get cold air in place . But just depends on the TRACK OF THE LOW PRESSURE what kind of winter weather we will get . If the low pressure goes just south of Arkansas. And below freezing temps. in place we are in for a winterstorm in arkansas usually but you got to have 2 things for snow Below freezing temps in upper level-mid level- and low levels and moisture . Usually a upper level low pressure system has that cold air upstairs to support snow. Usually during the winter months. But if they keep tracking north of Arkansas they aint going to do us no good. Now a clipper system can bring a dusting or a little bit more . If you got cold artic air in place the clipper system rides the northwest and northly flow during the winter . But I think we need to start thinking about SEVERE WEATHER IN ARKANSAS because in 9 days March will be here very active weather happens in march from TORNADO'S to SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS to SNOWSTORMS remember last march 2 good snows within 2weeks so all yall SNOWLOVERS don't give up hope just yet!!!!!!!!!!! Talk to you later Todd, !!!! Later!!!!!!!!!! Going fishing friday morning the fishing is suppost to be good in the morning its going to be a cold start but will warm up under sunny skies. LATER!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

john
todd this weather is so boring no snow no where to be found tjhis winter will go down as the snowless winter of 08-09

caleb
looks like just rain saturday i knew it was just going to be a cool rain no snow this winter has been so boring for lil rock just a few cold shots of air in dec an jan nothing to write home about.

Devin Flemens
Well Todd other than the rain saturday it looks like next week is going to be a warm wet one. Any thoughts on how it might turn out?

ArkieLad
Where do you all go to look at the GFS and NAM models? It seems everybody looks at them but I don't know where to find them.

The WeatherNinja
Todd..based on what I see with the GFS & NAM I think the LR area could get in on some of the wintery weather. Nothing to worry about though, although the NAM is showing a wider band of snow on the back side of the frontal system even into SE Ark. It looks like those east of AR could see some accumulation.

David
Todd, considering that this winter wasn't big at all, do you think we will have a wilder tornado season? As a Severe Weather Enthusiast I'd like to know.

Devin Flemens
Well Todd looks like the north will be tho only spot to see snow.Looks like futher east may get a nice snow.So what do you see about 10 to 15 days out ?

ROSS
THIS WINTER HAS BEEN SO TERRIBLE. NO SNOW IN CENTRAL ARKANSAS. IT JUST NOT FAIR I WAS ASKING FOR JUST ONE 4 TO 6 INCH SNOWFALL. BUT NOT EVEN A FLAKE WAS SEEN,EVERY SYSTEM THAT CAME THROUGH WAS RAIN EXCEPT THE ICE EVENT OVER THE NORTH IN JAN. I KNOW ITS GOING TO BE AT LEAST 10 OR 11 MONTHS B4 WE EVEN HAVE A CHANCE TO SEE ANY SNOW.ITS JUST NOT FAIR., GUESS ME AN THE KIDS WILL HAVE TO TURN ON THE TV TO SEE ANY SNOW THIS YEAR.

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