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Next week looks very interesting. The European model shows consistency with a fight between warm air and arctic air. It shows a shallow cold air mass diving deep into Texas with an upper low swinging into the Rockies. The shallow air mass gets hung up on the Ozarks with a significant winter storm for Texas, Oklahoma, up into Missouri. It would be just a cold rain here. Again, this is just my interpretation of what ONE model shows. Regardless, it will be an active late winter/early spring pattern. I will have more in a new post soon.
By the way, it's a sad day. The National Weather Service has discontinued use of the NGM model. The model has been used for many years and in my opinion, it does a better job with temperatuers than the GFS in some situations.
3 PM Sunday Update... To answer George's question below, we officially received .2 inches of snow at Little Rock and .4 inches at North Little Rock. It will not go down in history as a snowless winter.
1 PM Sunday Update... I have been glancing over some of the latest data. I'm very confident many locations will see 80 degrees by the end of the week. We should have the warmest temperatures so far this year. Also, the pattern gets active again the following week. I'll keep you updated as we are now entering what is typically the three most active months of the year.
Our snowstorm is gone, but the memories will last a long time in northeast Arkansas. Amounts ranged from 5 to 12 inches up north. The next week will be very quiet with a big warm up expected by the middle and end of the week. I think the following week will get active again.
Below is a satellite image from space centered on Arkansas Sunday morning. You can clearly see the snow fields across north and northeast Arkansas. If you look closely, you can plainly see the White River on the western edge of the snow field in eastern Arkansas. I will also post a few pictures from "WeatherNinja". He spent the day in Paragould capturing some amazing shots. Thanks again to everyone who participated in the blog!
Now...if you want to go out on the deep end of weather..the 18Z GFS looked crazy on the 18th.
That was the heaviest snow I have ever seen in Arkansas. When I left around 7PM It had to be snowing at between 1-2 inches per hour at Paragould. The wind was blowing near 25mph and the visibility was down to less than an 1/8 of a mile. I have seen worse in Alaska but not here.
Once I got to Jonesboro..they had about 2-3 inches but none of it was on the streets. All you had to do was go east 10 miles or north 5 miles and the conditions changed drastically.
I did not see any additional snow until I got to Cabot and then in Sherwood I saw the ground was white. Looking at some of the video of LR it looks like it snowed hard for a time.
Well...bloggers...are you happy now? I know many did not get enough to sled or make a snowman (that March sun warms quickly) but at least we got enough snow to make it exciting for a while.
Now...bring on Spring and severe weather...(it's what I do)......:)
October
