Are they still showing one of my pictures of a wall cloud over LR? I took it from I 440/I 40 several years ago.

The Scott storm was confirmed as an EF0 and had a very small track.

I agree with the models painting another round of rainfall...and some thunderstorms may be involved for next week. Just have to wait and see. As far as the cold air...yes it's still up there..I noticed some -20 temps in parts of Alaska. The cold will be here soon enough. As long as it appears around the 8th of December (my snow predition) i'll be happy.

Michael Hook aka...The WeatherNinja

The National Weather Service did survey the storm that hit the Pine Bluff Wal-Mart and they do believe it was a tornado. Apparently several cars were damaged and video from the Wal-Mart store indicated a possible tornado. The electricity went out just before the storm struck. They also mentioned storm damage near Scott, but did not confirm or deny a tornado with this damage. They did confirm 10 tornado touch downs last week, bringing us to 37 so far this year. Our average is 26

The models for next week storm are starting to look like another round of heavy rain and possible severe weather. Looks like Monday/Tuesday time frame. The cold air appears to stay bottled up. El-Ni?o is showing it's strength. It will be interesting to see how the winter unfolds.

Interesting note: I find myself discussing this info with people and they quote different numbers and records that contradict my info. Most people don?t understand that North Little Rock is the official reporting station and Little Rock Adams Field has its own records. For example; if you said that we had the coolest average day time high on record for the month (66.0F) of October you would be correct. NLR reported that. If you said we had the 2nd coolest on record (67.8F) you would also be correct. Little Rock Adams Field reported that. By the way there is no point in arguing if they don?t get the difference between the two reporting stations. Keep it fun.

I would expect much of the same through mid winter. Remember extreme weather is rare. That is what makes it extreme. Our weather will see ebbs and flows over the next several weeks right on through Christmas. It will be interesting to see if the cold air can get south and mix in with a very active southern jet.

Happy weather forecasting

Waiting on the survey report for the possible small tornado between Scott and Butlerville. This would have tracked very near where I was until I got caught in traffic. I told you on the phone of a very low cloud base north of Interstate 40 between Kerr Road and Highway 89. I did see some gusty winds. So I will just wait and see. If there was anything..I am sure it would be EF0 or so.

I see some indication of some rain possible starting on Friday. Will just wait and see...I love the sunshine, but the groud is so squeaky...Happy Halloween everyone.

Ninja

It would be nice if you could recap all the records and top 10 finishes for this month. How did we finish with avg temps and did we get the daily rain fall record?

Where is the cold air?? Do you see any in the models?

Amazing how the rain total difference can be so much from WLR over here to Sherwood. I presume the rainfall amounts were even heavier about 10-15 miles east of Sherwood. From the radar returns it looks like they got even more just slightly to the east.

Jim Studdard

We will challenge the wettest year ever although I wouldn't be disappointed if we had below normal rainfall next month. That would be a welcome relief! I do hope that we get a freeze soon...the mosquitoes are loving this.

Saw some downed trees about 3 miles west of I 530 on the road to Sheridan.

Rainfall was intense on the way back to LR especially near the airport. You could tell there is no place for any of this water to go and it is just backing up creating urban flooding. And to make matters worse, I saw several roadside ditches filling up because leaves have clogged the storm drains.

Looks like the situation is winding down except for the heavy rain. Great posts everyone. Going to be nasty tomorrow with the colder air working down.

Becky

Notice how these storms formed rapidly and stayed independent of each other. These storms can become tornado producers. weatherNinja warned of this in his blog post. It looks like Camden was hit by a possible tornado.

It looks like we have about two more hours to keep on eye on this. We still have one more round to come through central Arkansas.

Todd, you and Barry are doing an outstanding job on TV. I am so proud to have you guys here keeping us warned. Keep up the good work.

Tornado watches are in effect for SW AR and much of Eastern Oklahoma as of 1:00 PM. It could be interesting tonight as the system pulls through. I will be watching for those discrete supercells (of which at the time of this writing were evident in north Louisiana and had tornado warnings with some of them).

I look for the line of thunderstorms in Oklahoma to finally start moving to the east later this afternoon/tonight and with it some severe weather as the upper air dynamics will be impressive. This is in addition to the heavy rains.

Looks like it might get busy for a while tonight.

Is the storm system slowing a bit? If this is the case, could see a surge of higher dewpoints/more unstable air work into AR tomorrow. Looks like a line of thunderstorms will move across followed by rounds of heavy rain. SPC still sees severe potential especially if the atmospher can destablize. Lot's of shear for sure. Will still have to watch and see if any discrete thunderstorms can get going out ahead main line. Still looks like the southern part of the state has the best chance for seeing severe, but won't discount it anywhere. The rainfall amounts being painted are amazing.

This evening Jim Cantore said he has never seen such a large area of the US placed under a flash flood watch this far in advance of a storm systems arrival. He highlighted Arkansas this evening as the place for the most active weather tomorrow/night.

I will be on guard for the next two days as this impressive system bears down on us. As we say on the BUZZ..."looks like a 100% chance that Tommy Smith will get another CAVE DAY tomorrow"...

We may have to build an Ark after this one.

My house is at the top of a steep hill and was built in 78 so I don't think it's experienced a 30 year flood yet. Last month, my backyard looked like a mini waterfall in spots when we had the last flash flood warning. Luckily, we have huge boulders that go up about 15 feet to the top our backyard.

Be safe everyone.

Looks like the parts of Arkansas might be in the "warm sector" Thursday night which might raise the severe threat a little. Severe thunderstorms with strong winds would do some damage since the ground is so soft. Even after some sunshine today, the ground is squeaky...meaning it can't hold anymore water.

7-8 Inches...the only time I can remember that much rain was in September of 77 or 78. It seems like LR had 7.78 inches in a little more than 6 hours. I will have to go back and check the records.

This time last week we were all talking about how cold it was going to be over Halloween.